LOUISVILLE, Ky. — We will be seeing some snowfall here in Kentuckiana for the first weekend in March! We're tracking a system that will impact your Sunday plans. Accumulating snowfall is possible across much of our area.
An area of low pressure moving northeast from Texas will encounter a cold frontal boundary here in the Ohio Valley and produce a rain and snowfall mix on Sunday. What may begin as rain overnight Saturday into Sunday will transition to snowfall during the daylight hours on Sunday as temperatures steadily fall throughout the day.
We're watching a few different weather models as this system tracks towards our area.
The GFS model above shows a quicker transition to snowfall by Sunday afternoon across Kentuckiana. With this model we would likely see a brief period of rain very early Sunday morning before snowfall lasting through much of the day and clearing by late Sunday night.
The European model keeps the rain and a wintry mix in the forecast for a longer period of time than the GFS model. This would limit snow accumulations for areas along and south of the Western Kentucky and Bluegrass Parkways. The bulk of the snowfall shown in this model would fall along and north of the I-64 corridor.
If you do a side-by-side comparison of our "accumulating snow potential" between the two models you'll notice a similar trend to our model forecasts mentioned above. The GFS model shows snow falling farther south than the EURO, but also lighter snowfall thank the EURO. The EURO keeps the heavier snow along and north of the Ohio River and along the I-64 corridor.
We'll continue to track updates on both of these models as well as various other weather models as this system nears our area.
Above is a rough idea of where the best locations are for potential accumulating snow based on the information we have as of Friday morning. Along and north of the I-64 corridor has the better chance for accumulating snow. Areas south of the I-64 corridor will likely see less in the way of accumulation. Overall this will be a fairly low impact system.
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