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Data Deep Dive: Deciphering COVID-19 death trends in Indiana

About 2% of those with the coronavirus die in Kentucky compared to nearly 3% in Indiana, based on the latest data. The FOCUS team diving into the death trends.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. — Death trends usually trail case trends by weeks or even a month. That is because the virus can take a long time to run their course and it can take weeks or months for those infected to succumb or overcome the illness. 

INDIANA

Credit: FOCUS Investigates

The bars rise to represent the deaths by the day they happened.

Those dates are along the bottom.

If you follow that dotted trend line to the far right...

You'll notice after a slight rise in the past two weeks -- the death trend is slightly down.

Since the numbers are based on the day of deaths the Indiana State Department of Health updates their historic data as more deaths are reported to them, so this trend could change.

A bonus graph, this graph compares the case and deaths by day. 

Credit: FOCUS Investigates

Luckily, there are fewer deaths than cases that is why you'll notice there are two axis or sets of numbers on the side of the graph.

The bars show the deaths where at the lines show the new cases.

The numbers on the left reference the deaths shown by the bars while the numbers on the right axis reference the new cases shown by the line.


The true death rate can not be determined until there are no more cases of the virus because some patients infected will recover but using the current data, nearly 3% of those infected have passed away with the virus.

KENTUCKY

Credit: FOCUS Investigates

A look at the deaths since the start of the pandemic.

It appears average deaths are trending down after a series of increases just days ago.

Reminder, Kentucky reports deaths differently.

Instead of the day of death -- the bars show the deaths reported to the state on that day.

That means we do not know when the deaths actually occurred --
making conclusions harder to draw from this data.

Here's a bonus graph.

Credit: FOCUS Investigates

Again, the bars show the death toll and are reflected by the numbers on the left.

The orange line shows the newly reported case counts connected to the numbers on the right.

Using the current data nearly 2% of that positive pass away with the coronavirus. 

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