Our latest exclusive WHAS11/Survey USA poll shows that third district congressional candidate John Yarmuth is ahead in the race against incumbent Anne Northup.  His lead has narrowed three points since our last survey last week, but he's still leading.

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We asked 485 likely voters in the third district: “If the elections were today, who would you vote for? Republican Anne Northup, Democrat John Yarmuth, Libertarian Donna Mancini or Constitution Candidate Ed Parker.”

Fifty percent said they'd vote for Yarmuth, 45 percent said Northup, Parker got 2 percent of the vote and Mancini one percent. Two percent of those we surveyed were undecided.

It's down to the wire for candidates and they're not getting much rest.

Anne Northup and John Yarmuth are making last minute pitches to voters and being asked to say something nice about each other.

John Yarmuth and Anne Northup crisscrossed the county in hopes of swaying what few voters hadn't made up their minds.  Northup telling them this election is about the job she's done bringing home federal money and Yarmuth saying it's about Northup's ties to President Bush.

John Yarmuth got some encouraging words from a fellow golfer during Yarmuth's last round of campaigning.  Anne Northup got applause when she visited with employees at a local business. 

Northup is riding around town on a trolley, stopping to persuade undecided voters that tomorrow's election is about her and the federal money she's brought to Louisville.

Yarmuth has a different pitch for the undecided. He says that if you like President Bush you should vote for Anne Northup.

Yarmuth and Northup went head-to-head one last time on WHAS Radio Monday morning.  Francene ask both of them to say something nice about each other. 

Here's their answers:

Northup said Yarmuth was a smart person and a good writer.

Yarmuth said Northup was hard working and caring.

With an election this close, the outcome may come down to one thing: the weather.  There's a good chance of rain.  And lousy weather means lower voter turnout.  That traditionally helps Republicans. 

But both Yarmuth and Northup say they're hoping for a big turnout.  They each believe their own supporters are more motivated to get to the polls than are their opponents.

Northup is one of the incumbents in at least three of Kentucky's Republican-held congressional seats facing tough challenges this year.  The others are the second district where Representative Ron Lewis is facing former state Representative Mike Weaver.  And in the fourth district, incumbent Representative Geoff Davis is facing former Congressman Ken Lucas.