Let me go out on a limb and predict, there will be no Triple Crown winner this year.
It's so difficult to win all three races that you could almost make that prediction on New Year's Day.
Super Saver has eight fresh horses waiting in Baltimore and another group of fresh horses waiting at Belmont. If he really is a
Super horse, and gets the best of racing luck, maybe he can win the Triple Crown. But, it's not likely.
There is still a nagging suspicion that the best horse in this group of Triple Crown runners is Lookin at Lucky. And this time, he gets an even break, right next to Super Saver. And that's where the "spinning" starts.
Garrett Gomez, thought to be the best jockey in the country, was sent spinning by Bob Baffert. Baffert had seen enough of troubled trips and changed to his younger and maybe "just as hot jockey" in Martin Garcia.
Now the plot thickens. Gomez runs into the waiting reins of D. Wayne Lukas and takes the ride on hard knocking Dublin. I expect that Gomez will try to make a point to Baffert and will ride the hair off Dublin.
Terry Thompson, who rode Dublin in the Derby, is sent spinning to Lukas' other horse, Northern Giant. He's a horse with a stalking style in a field of stalkers. There is no true speed horse, So, would Thompson and Lukas send this horse to the front and hope his
Giant's Causeway pedigree will go the distance?
Paddy O'Prado is still around after finishing third in the Derby, but he wasn't the one who was catching Super Saver at the finish line, it was Ice Box, who is waiting for the Belmont.
And Pletcher has his fresher horse in Aikenite, the runner-up in the Derby trial. Dogwood Stable is making a sentimental journey, because it was the Preakness, that put Summer Squall and Cot Campbell on the map. So, could you actually spin a horse, and knock your Derby winner out of the Triple Crown with another horse that you train. Probably, but not with Aikenite.
If you're looking for a longshot, Yawanna Twist is lightly raced and the numbers are moving in the right direction. He'll also try to be just off the lead.
I picked Super Saver in the Derby because I saw a horse that was improving and peaking for his third start off the winter layoff. If he's to win the Preakness, Super Saver is going to have to keep getting better.
Something tells me that Lookin and Lucky will win the Preakness if he gets any breaks at all. He's already drawn post number 7.
That's a start. And if he makes it to the finish line first, he sets the thoroughbred world spinning toward the Belmont.