(WHAS11) - Last year I was 3 for 3 picking Triple Crown winners. This year I'm 0 for 2 and looking at the chance to be eating a bagel at the Belmont.
But I still have one chance to get it right in 2011 and I have a mile and a half to do it.
And this time I went looking for a little help. I met with a group of handicappers at Bistro 42 in Prospect to bounce around some ideas about who might still be running at the finish line in New York.
It was almost unanimous that Shackleford should take his Preakness trophy and stay home. He outran his pedigree in Baltimore and is a beautiful, tough horse. He looks great if he's resting up and going for the Haskell in midsummer. My opinion: Don't run him. Don't risk the horse.
For openers my handicappers acknowledged that the Belmont is Animal Kingdom's race to lose.
He's big and strong and seems perfect for the marathon.
But will he move too soon and be worn down by a grinder that will still be running at the end.
Remember Drosslemeyer, the afterthought who won last year.
Toward the end of our spaghetti handicapping session, a consensus emerged that the three time bridesmaid, Nehro, is the most dangerous horse in the field.
He had a nice second in the Derby and this will again make three different horses winning a jewel.
Nehro comes to Belmont off a five week rest and breezed six furlongs in 1:12 and change on Memorial Day.
Most people still like Animal Kingdom to hit the board in his third straight race, and perhaps Brilliant Speed, trained by Tom Albertrani is a threat to get a piece or an upset.
But the Pasta Pick from Bistro 42 is Nehro. We see the rest as meatballs.
Enjoy the Belmont.