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Gary Roedemeier's Belmont Picks

Gary Roedemeier's Belmont Picks

Credit: Getty Images

LOUISVILLE, KY - MAY 01: Golden Soul trains on the track in preparation for the 2013 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 1, 2013 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

by Gary Roedeiemeier

Posted on June 5, 2013 at 6:16 PM

The Belmont Stakes is a horse racing oddity.

The best 3-year-olds race a distance (a mile and a half) that they have never run before. And they will probably never race at that distance again.

And unless the winner is a Triple Crown monster like Secretariat, the Belmont is won by a horse with a limitless pedigree, who is still running at the end.

Sometimes the field literally staggers to the finish line.

That's our task for the weekend, to determine, which horse will be still running after a mile and half on a deep sandy track on Long Island.

It appears that the weather will be conveniently similar to the Kentucky Derby. So, we have a pretty good sense of who might do well on a wet track.

Orb certainly fits the profile with the pedigree and a better post position than the Preakness. He could be set up to make us forget his clunker in Baltimore.

Revolutionary gives WinStar another shot at the Belmont and as a well-known closer he could be the one, who still has the momentum after Belmont's last sweeping turn.

Oxbow won at the Preakness by setting a leisurely pace and he'll try that again, but something tells me, he can't pull of a repeat at this distance.

In the Belmont, I'm going for some value and a horse seemingly bred to run forever. Golden Soul was the last horse into the Derby but he was a fast closing second at the finish line.

On another muddy track and with an extra quarter of a mile, I'm taking Dallas Stewart to win the Belmont at somewhere around 10 to 1.

For long shots on Saturday, I like Palace Malice, who ran nicely in the mud on Derby day but ran the first half mile too fast. And for a long, long shot, how about Frac Daddy, a mystery horse, who might win a big one someday.

I think the final three at Belmont will be similar to the Derby. Not much changes in five weeks, not even the weather.

Golden Soul first. Revolutionary second and Orb third.

It's New Yawk, New Yawk!