(WHAS11)-- How many ways can you write "California Chrome Wins the Preakness?"
Let me count the ways.
First, California Chrome has won five races in a row.
He won the Kentucky Derby by almost two lengths and only two horses that ran in the Derby will try the Preakness.
They are Ride on Curlin, who was seventh and General A Rod, who finished eleventh. They were a long way back, when Chrome won the Roses.
The seven other Preakness entries did not run in the Derby because, they were not good enough to run in the Derby. They were fringe contenders, late bloomers but for the most part, short of Derby points.
Some of the newcomers will bring more speed to the Preakness, depending on their bravery. But, California Chrome has speed and endurance. He'll stalk and if the speed horses go crazy, he'll pick up the pieces.
That replay of the Derby on the Churchill website, shows that California Chrome ran a mile and a quarter with ease. The Preakness is shorter. Do the math. Barring a mishap, the Derby champ should be ready to pounce at the top of the stretch.
All of this means, it's a terrible betting race. California Chrome is 3 to 5 on the morning line. He might be 1 to 9 by the time they reach the post. And that might be a fair price. And I'm the guy who picked against this horse in the Derby.
It is the pronounced tendency of Louisville horse players to root for the Derby winner in Baltimore and hope for a Triple Crown.
It's been a long wait. I think the Triple Crown is still a long shot. But the Preakness should be a lock.
I just hope I haven't jinxed the horse. Go Chrome.