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Updated winter weather outlook!

Updated winter weather outlook!

by Ben Pine

WHAS11.com

Posted on November 27, 2012 at 8:12 AM

Updated Tuesday, Nov 27 at 8:25 AM

Let's start with the overall winter outlook across the nation.  Notice to our north is the better chance of colder than normal weather, with the warmer winter expected to the southwest.  The better chances of higher precipitation this winter appear to be over our area and just to our south.

A winter with neither an El Nino or La Nina can be quite unpredictable, which often means big swings, or a winter of ups and downs - similar to the winter of 2008-2009. So, this begs the question, what happened during that winter?  Glad you asked!  Let's take a look...

Winter 2008-2009:

First of all, the November before that winter looks a lot like our November this year with below normal precipitation, just a trace of snow, and below normal temperatures.  So, that's a little interesting, how closely those two months match up so far.

Overall for the winter of 2008-2009 we had a nearly average amount of precipitation and snowfall (12.3" of snow)

December had nearly normal temperatures, 1.3" of snow, but 5.18" of total precipitation (well above average).

January was a wild month with major temperature swings from a high of 61, to a low of -1.  January ended up several degrees colder than normal with near normal precipitation amounts, and that amounted to a bunch of snow and ice!  January had 9.5" of snowfall, most of it during the historic ice storm late that January. 

February of 2009 was a calmer month with only 1.3" of snow, and precipitation was an inch below normal.  Temperatures ended up a couple degrees above normal.

So, while every winter is different, especially around our area, if we end up anything like the winter of 2008-2009, we could have a couple "big" snow or ice events, with a bunch of temperature swings.  Basically, be ready for anything! 

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