Posted on April 4, 2012 at 12:49 PM
After the warmest March on record, many folks are asking if this is any indication of what’s ahead for the summer. Are we going to see an extremely hot summer if we already saw 80’s in March? I did a little digging, and with the help of the National Weather Service, here are what the summers were like after the top five warmest Marches on record.
1. 1945 (tied for first before 2012) – 13th coolest summer on record
1. 1910 (tied for first before 2012) – Slightly cooler than normal
2. 1946 – 9th coolest summer on record
3. 1921 – 8th warmest summer on record
4. 2007 – 3rd warmest summer on record
5. 1907 – Slightly cooler than normal
Looking at these numbers, there is no correlation between a warm March and the summer.
But, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has out a prediction for the summer (June, July and August). One big factor that has been influencing our weather over the past few years is finally weakening. That factor is La Nina. It is expected to go completely neutral by May.
Here is what the CPC is thinking for the summer. The area is shaded in light orange indicating the possibility of a slightly warmer than average summer.
As for rainfall, the CPC has the area expecting to get average rainfall for the summer.