You've got to love a March snow maker... They are always tricky to forecast! Right now the models are tracking the Low through Kentucky (not the best location for a big snow). However if it decides to track farther south it could be a different story.
LETS TAKE A LOOK...
The models are keeping us in the warm air for most Tuesday and that means rain showers (maybe a stray t-storm). The NAM at 1pm has the rain/snow line (540 thickness) well to our north and west. Notice the Low is in W. Kentucky.
By 6pm the rain/snow line is east and south of us. The Low is now in E. Kentucky and we have cold air advection from the north. I expect to see a transition from rain to a rain/snow mix between 5-6pm, then changing to snow after 8pm.
Models are all over the place with snowfall totals... One even has up to 6" for the Metro - I think that is to much with the current forecast track of the low. Right now I'm liking Futurecast which is showing 1-2" for most of Kentuckiana. I do think that our northern counties in Indiana could see some pockets of 3 inches.
HEAVIER SNOW TO OUR NORTH
Indianapolis currently has a Winter Weather Advisory Tuesday-Wednesday Morning for 3-5" (that includes the northern portions of Jackson and Jennings counties). As I stated earlier if the Low tracks a little farther south we could be looking at those heavier amounts. Stay Tuned!