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Snow... late Tuesday - Wednesday morning

Snow... late Tuesday - Wednesday morning

by Monty Webb

WHAS11.com

Posted on March 5, 2013 at 12:54 AM

Updated Tuesday, Mar 5 at 5:07 AM

MARCH SNOW

You've got to love a March snow maker...  They are always tricky to forecast!  Right now the models are tracking the Low through Kentucky (not the best location for a big snow).  However if it decides to track farther south it could be a different story.

LETS TAKE A LOOK...

The models are keeping us in the warm air for most Tuesday and that means rain showers (maybe a stray t-storm).  The NAM at 1pm has the rain/snow line (540 thickness) well to our north and west.  Notice the Low is in W. Kentucky.

By 6pm the rain/snow line is east and south of us.  The Low is now in E. Kentucky and we have cold air advection from the north.  I expect to see a transition from rain to a rain/snow mix between 5-6pm, then changing to snow after 8pm. 

Models are all over the place with snowfall totals...  One even has up to 6" for the Metro - I think that is to much with the current forecast track of the low.  Right now I'm liking Futurecast which is showing 1-2" for most of Kentuckiana.  I do think that our northern counties in Indiana could see some pockets of 3 inches.

HEAVIER SNOW TO OUR NORTH

Indianapolis currently has a Winter Weather Advisory Tuesday-Wednesday Morning for 3-5" (that includes the northern portions of Jackson and Jennings counties).  As I stated earlier if the Low tracks a little farther south we could be looking at those heavier amounts.  Stay Tuned!

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