Early school dismissals... date night challenges... bad evening commute... are all possible as accumulating snow arrives Valentine's Day afternoon. Let's time it out and add it up!
Follow along with the maps below...
The 1st map shows above freezing temps tomorrow and mainly dry conditions through the morning. Temperatures are always so important with winter systems, and with many areas above freezing, this will likely be a wet, slushy snow. Treated roads will likely be in good shape, except for being snow-covered for a brief time during the heaviest period of snow.
Map 2 shows the snow (and rain south) all over Kentuckiana during the afternoon. What a mess for the Friday evening commute. Notice where it's much warmer south of E-town, this will just be a rain event. Accumulating snow will be most likely north of the Parkways, with the heaviest north of I-64.
Map 3 shows the mix heading out through the evening. Most areas will be dry by 10-11pm, if not earlier.
Take a look at the 4 different weather models and their snowfall total projections. Most are calling for 1-3" total. The RPM and NAM show a more realistic placement of the heavier snow, mainly north of I-64. Again, lighter amounts expected south, where temps will be warmer and more melting will occur.
In general, expect 1-3" along and north of I-64, including Metro Louisville. 1" or less for areas to the south, just rain south of the Parkways. The last map shows my summary.
Weather Model Totals: