The much anticipated WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll of Kentucky's Third District Congressional race will be revealed Thursday afternoon at 5pm on WHAS11 News, both on-air and on WHAS11.com. It is the first WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll of the Yarmuth, Lally contest.
Internal polls released by both major candidates in July showed vastly different results. U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth (D) released a poll that showed him with a 26 point lead. A poll distributed by the Todd Lally (R) campaign, however, showed the race a virtual dead heat.
A poll conducted for Insight Cable politics on August 12 showed Yarmuth with a commanding 23 point lead. The poll was conducted by Braun Research, Inc., a marketing and public opinion research firm that does not appear to have as much experience in political polling.
The WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll is conducted by Survey USA, which is consistently rated as one of the most accurate political pollsters in the country.
The two term Democrat has been an unapologetic supporter of the national party's liberal agenda and is skillful in explaining Democrats' positions on both local and national media. Yarmuth has also been outspoken in his dissatisfaction with the performance of the Obama administration's economic team.
The WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll, conducted by Survey USA in April before Lally won the GOP primary, showed that 26% of registered voters said they will vote for Yarmuth in November's general election, no matter who else is on the ballot;
28% said they will vote against Yarmuth no matter who else is on the ballot and 45% said they would need to know who else is on the ballot before they know how they will vote.