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WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll: Fischer 47%, Heiner 45%

by Joe Arnold


Posted on September 1, 2010 at 3:58 PM

Updated Wednesday, Sep 1 at 8:23 PM

The Louisville mayors race is still a statistical dead heat in a new WHAS11/Courier Journal Bluegrass poll released Wednesday.

Greg Fischer (D) 47%
Hal Heiner (R) 45%
Jackie Green (I) 2%
Undecided 5%

While Hal Heiner maintains 45% support in the poll, Greg Fischer is up two points, now at 47%.

Click here for the full poll, including crosstabs.

"We're happy with the poll results," said Fischer, "Obviously we're moving in the right direction.  We're out and about sixteen hours a day around the city, so, people are responding very well to our messages which are jobs and neighborhoods and teamwork."

Hal Heiner also welcomed the numbers.

"To be tied here sixty days out from the election especially with the kind of party imbalance we have in this community, I think it's great news," Heiner said.

Only five percent of voters are undecided in what projects to continue to be a neck and neck battle for city hall.

"I think when voters finally focus in on this race, which will happen in these last sixty days more intently, I think they'll come over this way heavily," Heiner said.

"We plan to outwork everybody," countered Fischer, "We plan to get our message out in many different ways.  That's what we're doing right now, so we'll continue to do that."

Democratic Voters
Fischer 76%
Heiner 16%
Undecided 4%

The one shift in the WHAS11/Courier Journal Bluegrass poll compared to last month is among party support.  Fischer has widened his lead by 12 points among Democrats, now a 60 point margin within his own party.

"It's important to have the Democratic Party, and I have a lot of Republicans voting for me as well," Fischer continued, "The mayor's job is about job creation and problem solving, so people are looking at this as who's best qualified to lead the city, who has the experience to do that, both in terms of management and leadership but also job creation.  So that's why I think I'm picking up the gain here."

Republican Voters
Fischer 12%
Heiner 81%
Undecided 5%

Republican Hal Heiner's support among GOP voters, meanwhile, is down five points - but still a 69 point edge within his own party.

Independent Voters
Fischer 39%
Heiner 49%
Undecided 9%

Independents favor Heiner by 10 points.

"It's not unexpected that certain parts, groups within a poll would jump around," Heiner explained, "But, for instance, independents came, shows a lot of people from an independent registration coming into our campaign.  But at the end of the day we're tied, and it's going to be great for Louisville."

Independent candidate Jackie Green is polling at just 2 percent. But he says there is no movement between Fischer and Heiner and because our pollster calls people with landlines, Green says that ignores a huge portion of his support, young people who only have cell phones.