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Paul, Conway polls under scrutiny

Paul, Conway polls under scrutiny

Rand Paul, Jack Conway

by Joe Arnold

WHAS11.com

Posted on September 10, 2010 at 7:45 AM

The release of the CNN/Time poll of registered voters, rather than likely voters, in several key Senate contests, including Kentucky's, continues to spark discussion.

The Christian Science Monitor reports "New polls may not tell whole story."

The National Review's Jim Geraghty questions the CNN/Time poll, asking, "A little late for a registered voter poll, isn't it fellas?"

And here is more from Mark Blumenthal posted on Huffington Post and Pollster.com:

The "likely voters" identified by pollsters are typically a few points more Republican, as turnout is typically higher among Republican leaning demographic groups, those who are older, better educated and white. But, again, this year's gap -- at least in early national surveys -- appears to bigger than usual.

We are also seeing another pattern emerge that is mostly unique to 2010: In several states, pollsters using automated methods, particularly Rasmussen Reports, SurveyUSA and Public Policy Polling (PPP), are reporting results consistently more favorable to Republican candidates than those using live interviewers.

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