A new Rasmussen Reports poll of the 2010 U.S. Senate race in Kentucky indicates that, if the general election were held today, the Senate seat being vacated by Jim Bunning will remain in Republican hands.
Either Republican frontrunner, Rand Paul or Trey Grayson, would defeat either Democrat frontrunner, Daniel Mongiardo or Jack Conway.
Democrat Jack Conway is more competitive than Daniel Mongiardo in the head-to-head matchups, trailing Trey Grayson by only four points and Rand Paul by eight points. Mongiardo trails both Republicans by double digits.
Meanwhile, it is increasing difficult for Trey Grayson supporters to argue that Rand Paul cannot win in the fall.
I'll break down some favorability numbers in a later post, but I wanted to get you the numbers ASAP:
Kentucky Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 2, 2010
|
2010 Kentucky Senate Race |
|
|---|---|
|
Trey Grayson (R) |
49% |
|
Daniel Mongiardo (D) |
35% |
|
Some Other Candidate |
5% |
|
Not Sure |
11% |
|
2010 Kentucky Senate Race |
|
|---|---|
|
Rand Paul (R) |
48% |
|
Daniel Mongiardo (D) |
37% |
|
Some Other Candidate |
3% |
|
Not Sure |
12% |
|
2010 Kentucky Senate Race |
|
|---|---|
|
Trey Grayson (R) |
44% |
|
Jack Conway (D) |
40% |
|
Some Other Candidate |
3% |
|
Not Sure |
14% |
|
2010 Kentucky Senate Race |
|
|---|---|
|
Rand Paul (R) |
47% |
|
Jack Conway (D) |
39% |
|
Some Other Candidate |
3% |
|
Not Sure |
11% |
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lildave2586 said on February 4, 2010 at 8:24 PM
Joe, you are doing a great job covering this campaign, better than any of the other news outlets in the state. Go Rand go!!
voterand2010 said on February 4, 2010 at 10:58 PM
Yes, Mr. Arnold your coverage of the Senate race has been very in-depth and superb. A nice fix for us political junkies.
graphic said on February 5, 2010 at 2:17 PM
I'm curious as to whether Rasmussen actually asked the poll participants the specific question "some other candidate" without giving the roster of those running.....