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New poll shows GOP Senate win in KY this fall

by Joe Arnold

WHAS11.com

Posted on February 4, 2010 at 5:13 PM

A new Rasmussen Reports poll of the 2010 U.S. Senate race in Kentucky indicates that, if the general election were held today, the Senate seat being vacated by Jim Bunning will remain in Republican hands.

Either Republican frontrunner, Rand Paul or Trey Grayson, would defeat either Democrat  frontrunner, Daniel Mongiardo or Jack Conway.

Democrat Jack Conway is more competitive than Daniel Mongiardo in the head-to-head matchups, trailing Trey Grayson by only four points and Rand Paul by eight points.  Mongiardo trails both Republicans by double digits.

Meanwhile, it is increasing difficult for Trey Grayson supporters to argue that Rand Paul cannot win in the fall.

I'll break down some favorability numbers in a later post, but I wanted to get you the numbers ASAP:

Kentucky Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 2, 2010

2010 Kentucky Senate Race

Trey Grayson (R)

49%

Daniel Mongiardo (D)

35%

Some Other Candidate

5%

Not Sure

11%

2010 Kentucky Senate Race

Rand Paul (R)

48%

Daniel Mongiardo (D)

37%

Some Other Candidate

3%

Not Sure

12%

2010 Kentucky Senate Race

Trey Grayson (R)

44%

Jack Conway (D)

40%

Some Other Candidate

3%

Not Sure

14%

2010 Kentucky Senate Race

Rand Paul (R)

47%

Jack Conway (D)

39%

Some Other Candidate

3%

Not Sure

11%

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