Snow, sleet, and ice totals; plus forecast verification!

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by Ben Pine

WHAS11.com

Posted on February 5, 2014 at 8:38 AM

Updated Wednesday, Feb 5 at 7:41 PM

We all know the weather in the Ohio Valley can be highly challenging!  We've heard some of your comments, "My dog can forecast better than you...", "I can just look out the window to get my weather...", "Heard about the snow on the way, they never get it right...".   Well, we are very used to these comments, and we joke about them in the weather center.  But, we don't mind being challenged to improve our forecasts each day. 

As far as the last storm, our forecast was right on target.  Check out the forecast verification below. Not only the amounts, but the timing.  Fortunately, temperatures in Louisville remained above freezing from 8pm through the overnight into Wednesday morning - helping to keep ice amounts down.  About 1.50" of water fell out of the sky last night, thankfully, it didn't all freeze.  Ice totals ranged generally from .10 - .50", most around .25".

The first map below is the a summary of the ice, sleet, and snow reports.  Notice, it matches the next maps very closely, which was the forecast yesterday morning.  This was the most difficult forecast of the season, and thankfully, it was spot on. 

I'm very happy with how our RPM Futurecast model handled the event, calling for above freezing temps.  While, other forecasts were showing a colder outlook.

This was not a major ice storm like what happened in 2009.  The January 2009 ice storm caused more than 600,000 power outages in Kentucky.  This storm has produced less than 20,000.

Below is a link to all of the collected winter storm reports...

Storm Reports

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